I've had some trouble finding much information about the statewide judicial candidates. They aren't allowed to campaign, and I haven't seen any sources I particularly trust giving recommendations -- in fact, I've only really found one place that gives any recommendations at all. That would be a blog called The James Hartline Report. (Actually, I first found it posted to something called "The Conservative Voice" but they seem to have gotten it from Hartline. In describing himself, Mr. Hartline says, "From fighting illegal porn stores to exposing the corruption within the homosexual agenda, James is being used to confront the powers of darkness in San Diego, California." His recommendations on the judicial candidates are based pretty much entirely on their adherence, or lack thereof, to the Christianist "family values" agenda (anti-abortion, anti-gay, and anti-secular in general), rather than any evaluation of their legal competence or basic fairness (with one exception I will come to).
Since Mr. Hartline seems to hold beliefs almost diametrically opposed to mine on these issues, however, it seems that without further information, the best I can do is see what he says -- and then, for the most part, do the opposite.
For Joyce L. Kennard, for instance, he notes that she's stated support for gay marriage and voted to overturn parental consent laws with respect to abortion. Big Yes here.
Carole A. Corrigan -- I found editorials listing her as a moderate, and praising Schwarzenegger for appointing her instead of caving to the far right and appointing someone more like the judge she was replacing (Janice Rogers Brown, a nutjob Bush was attempting to promote to the Federal appeals court). Of course, Hartline recommends a no vote for the simple reason that she's "is perhaps the first lesbian appointed to California's Supreme Court" by the "liberal" Schwarzenegger. Yes.
Judith McConnell draws fire for a ruling she made some years back, granting custody of a 16-year-old boy to the partner of his late gay father, rather than to his natural mother. Admittedly, this is a bit of an odd ruling. However, his Mom had kept him in hiding for a couple of years rather than let his father see him (she's a "born-again" Christian who believes homosexuality a sin), and according to the ruling, had interfered with his education and generally been a source of instability. Naturally, the conservative group accuses her of promoting the gay/secular/moral relativist agenda. Big Yes from here!
Patricia Benke is another one the anti-abortion crowd despises, since she ruled that pro-life groups had to pay the "bogus" attorney's fees when they sued Planned Parenthood to "protect young girls who were getting abortions." Riiiiight. Yes.
On the other hand, they like Richard D. Huffman, since he ruled that doctors were within their rights to refuse to impregnate a lesbian woman, owing to their personal religious beliefs. No.
Judith Haller joined in the same ruling as Patricia Benke, above, and is called "one of the most radical and liberal supporters of abortion in the California judiciary." Yes.
Cynthia G. Aaron -- well, let me just quote: "Another radical appointment by former Democratic Gov. Gray Davis, Cynthia G. Aaron was recently honored by the radical liberal group, the American Jewish Committee, whose board of trustees include radicals Bob Filner, Lynn Shenk and gay pride participant Sheriff Bill Kolender, as well as lesbian board member Bonnie Dumanis. This group lists as speakers for its leadership program, leftist Congresswoman Susan Davis, embryonic stem cell advocate Joe Panetta of BIOCOM, and radical San Diego City Councilman Scott Peters. The American Jewish Committee has been fighting aggressively for the removal of the Ten Commandments from public squares and is a major proponent of the separation of church and state." A glowing recommendation! Definite Yes! (...oh, they don't like her? Ooops. Well, they're wrong, so...)
Joan K. Irion -- not much to say about her, except that Gray Davis appointed her, meaning she is "sure to continue the radical rulings for abortion and gay rights." Yes.
Art W. McKinster is a "perverted-minded judge" who ruled in favor of a strip club in San Bernadino. No real details are given, but anyone Harline calls perverted gets an up-check here. Yes.
Betty A. Richli-- I may break precedent here. They say that Richli has "mostly been conservative in her rulings. Recent rulings to protect students and parents privacy by declaring a state law unconstitutional which had allowed the names of minor students to be publicly disclosed when the student is expelled from school was a fair ruling to protect parental/child rights. Richli has also ruled in favor of the strength of marijuana drug laws. She has ruled that police officers cannot sue for defamation of character when they are falsely accused, a ruling not too favorable with law enforcement. Overall Justice Richli should be returned to the bench on Nov. 7, 2006." I'm not sure about the latter two rulings, but the privacy one seems like a win to me. I'm actually going to agree with them (gasp). Yes.
Jeffrey King -- He should be "soundly rejected" because -- ready? -- he made a $450 donation to a Democratic congressional candidate in 2002. Yeah, that's a crime. Oh, wait, it was Joe Baca, a "radical abortion-extremist." Personally, I think people who blow up abortion clinics are the "radical abortion-extremists." However, given the slant of this site, I'm not sure there are many Democrats they wouldn't slap that term on. So, another Yes.
Douglas P. Miller gets my favorite down-check so far. He's a recent Schwarzenegger appointment, which they hold against him ("Schwarzenegger has not appointed anyone who supports a pro-life or pro-traditional marriage inclination"). Worse yet... "Miller spent a great deal of his educational and teaching history with BYU" -- so, they reason, he would have a pro-Mormon prejudice, which "could be a problem for those who are strict Christian traditionalists." Yeah, 'cause we all know what radical liberals come out of BYU, right? I have to give him a Yes just for that.
Kathleen O'Leary is another Gray Davis appointee, so he hates her. Yes.
And lastly the one I'm not sure about from their info, Raymond J. Ikola. It says that Ikola "has made controversial rulings on illegal immigrants and video camera surveillance issues vs. free speech." But it doesn't say what those rulings are, just that he's "dangerous." Based on what they seem to consider dangerous....I have to go with Yes.
On a couple of other matters: I have been mulling over two issues in particular since last time, and I think I may change my votes. They are California's proposition 86 and San Diego's prop A.
Prop 86 is the big cigarette tax. Though it might induce some people to smoke less or quit, and might stop some young people from starting, I just don't think I can support a tax increase this big to fund a lot of programs only indirectly related. Stopping and preventing smoking is good; more funding for hospitals is good; but this seems a bit ill-designed. I think, after all, I'm going to vote No.
As for Prop A, I'm unmoved by the people who seem to imply that voting against it means you hate the Marine Corps. And I still think that Miramar would be a very good site for a future international airport, if the military ever decided to shut the base down. However, I don't think that decision will be the least bit affected by how we vote on this measure. It seems to me all it's likely to do is delay any alternative planning. It seems more reasonable to take that option off the table, until and unless the military changes its position. So, I think I will change to a No on this as well. After all, doing so doesn't actually prevent resuming negotiations if the Marines suddenly decide to change plans.
You have a day or so to try to talk me into changing my mind on any of this. :)
Monday, November 06, 2006
Tuesday, October 17, 2006
California General Election, November 7th, 2006
Hey gang! It’s nearly election time! That means it’s time for our irregular feature…
E.Q. TAFT's CALIFORNIA VOTER GUIDE
We start simply..
Statewide Partisan Offices: I’m voting the straight Democratic ticket – yeah, I’m kind of in a rut that way. I don’t expect Angelides will beat Schwarzenegger at this point, since Ahnold has done a good job of running back to the center after taking his licking in the special election, and Angelides hasn’t had a lot to say campaign-wise other than “Ahnold likes Bush! Ahnold likes Bush!” Which just ain’t much of a state plan.
I am amused, however, at the way the Democrats have reacted to the term limit laws, by shuffling portfolios around. Bustamante and Garamendi propose to trade jobs, while Lockyear moves from Attorney General to Teasurer, and John Chiang hops from State Board of Equalization to Controller. Yeah, those term limits sure eliminated the “professional politicians,” didn’t they?
Anyhow, to be specific: That’s’ Angelides for Governor, Garamendi for Lt. Governor, Bowen for Secretary of State, Chiang for Controller, Lockyear for Treasurer, Jerry Brown for Attorney General, Bustamante for Insurance Commissioner, and Christian-Heising for Board of Equalization (3rd District).
Legislative Offices: Again, going Democratic here. I should emphasize I think it’s particularly crucial to vote Democrat at the Federal level, to try to recapture at least one house of Congress so that we might have some oversight and put a few checks on the power of President Bush. (If you don’t think he needs any, then I can’t imagine why you’d be interested in my political recommendations, except perhaps to report me to Homeland Security.)
For me it’s: US Senate – Dianne Feinstein; House of Representatives, 53rd District – Susan Davis; State Assembly, 76th District – Lori Saldana.
Statewide Judicial Offices: So far I can’t find much information on the various California Supreme and Appellate court nominees. I’m open to opinions...
Assorted Local Offices: I’ve cribbed recommendations here from assorted sources; I’m open to comment/persuasion.
Superior Court, Office #36: Rod Shelton
SD Community College Board, District A: Maria Nieto Senour
SD Community College Board, District C: Rich Grosch
SD Community College Board, District E: Peter Zschiesche
SD Unified School Board, District B: Katherine Nakamura
SD Unified School Board, District C: John DeBeck
State Ballot Propositions: Now we get long-winded...
Prop 1A: This would limit conditions under which the state could borrow from gasoline tax revenues (which are earmarked for transportation uses) for other purposes, and require any loans that do occur to be repaid, with interest, within three years. As matters stand, the state has to repay any money borrowed from these funds with interest, which already discourages (or should) doing so unless there’s a budget crisis. This seems to be a move to further limit the budget options of the Legislature, something we’ve already done too much of. I say NO.
Prop 1B: Highway Safety, Traffic Reduction, Air Quality, and Port Security funding. A pretty big bond issue -- $20 billion (about $38 billion to repay, over 30 years). But good, necessary causes, I think. YES.
Prop 1C: Bonds for housing assistance of various kinds. YES.
Prop 1D: Bonds for public education. The usual education bonds, the usual answer from us damn liberals: YES.
Prop 1E: Disaster Preparedness and Flood Prevention bonds. I love the bit in the “argument against” where the author first complains that too much of the money goes to local community projects that should be paid for by local districts, not state funds – then in the very next paragraph, says we should demand more federal funds. Oy. YES.
Prop 83: “Jessica’s Law” – oh no, if I vote against this, I hate children, right? *sigh*. GPS monitoring of “sexual predators” for LIFE? A requirement that all registered sex offenders live at least 2,000 feet away from schools and parks, which might force many of them out of urban areas altogether? (And of course, neither of those provisions helps in the least against those whose victims are their own relatives…) I expect this will almost certainly pass, but where do we draw the line? If sex offenders are so dangerous they have to be monitored 24/7, why aren’t we just keeping them in prison for life anyway? (Don’t worry, that will be on the 2008 ballot…) Sorry, Jessica, but NO.
Prop 84: Water Quality bonds. Have I mentioned, by the way, how tired I am of the arguments for and against these bond issues on the subject of taxes? The arguments against always scream that the measure will increase taxes, while the arguments against insist they can provide services without raising taxes. Both sides are, IMO, being somewhat misleading. The “for” people make it sound like free money, which it isn’t. But neither does passing a bond measure make a tax increase inevitable, as long as over-all debt is held down to a reasonable level that the budget can cope with.
Anyway, I kind of like clean water, so YES.
Prop 85: Parental notification before abortions are performed for minors. Didn’t we vote on this already? Well, yes, we did, actually, but the anti-choice folks don’t give up that easily. While I admit to some qualms about minors getting medical treatments without their parents being notified, these are easily trumped by my feeling that no one, adult of minor, should be forced to have a child they don’t want to have. Please vote NO again. Thanks.
Prop 86: A new tobacco tax, this one a whopping 13 cents per cigarette -- $2.60 per pack. My informal research shows that cigarettes currently go for about $3-5 per pack, so that’s a pretty substantial price increase. I am very much an anti-smoker. I have voted for higher cigarette taxes in the past. And I really dislike voting the way the tobacco companies want me to. But I have some hesitation about this one. Since tobacco use rates tend to be higher amongst minorities and the poor, this amounts to a huge and very regressive tax. Someone who smokes a pack a day ends up paying $950 a year in extra taxes. For someone who makes a couple of hundred thousand dollars, that may seem trivial, but for someone making, say, $15-20,000, that’s a pretty big chunk of their income. Sure, it’s easy to say they can avoid it merely by giving up smoking. But that’s not so easy. I’ve never smoked, so I don’t really know how difficult it is – but I find my own bad habits pretty hard to break, even without the factor of being physically addictive. Raising taxes on these people makes me feel a little bit like a heroin dealer who doubles the price on his customers once they’re hooked.
But…
Proponents claim that studies show the tax will reduce and prevent smoking; that half a million Californians who smoke will quit; that hundreds of thousands of kids who haven’t yet started, won’t; that those who do smoke will smoke less. I’m not sure I believe all their numbers – but even if you cut them in half, that’s still one hell of an incentive to vote for this. Plus the money goes to some good places that need it badly.
(As an aside, I’m trying to not be overly influenced by the horrendous piece of mathematical manipulation the opponents have been using. Under current state law, you see, 40% of any new tax revenue must go to education. But this proposition, expected to raise about $2 billion, exempts itself from that requirement. So, the opponents say, passing it will TAKE $800 MILLION AWAY FROM THE SCHOOLS!!!! …never mind that it’s money that won’t exist unless the proposition is passed. I laughed out loud when I first read that one, but I wonder how many people will buy it.)
I’m still a bit torn. But I think I have to vote YES.
Prop 87: A tax on oil production, from 1.5-6.0%, depending on the market price per barrel, with the funds going to assorted alternative energy projects. The ads from the opponents on this one make it sound like it will be applied directly at the pump, which it will not. On the other hand, I have to shake my head at the law’s provision that the tax can’t be passed along to consumers – the way gas prices go up and down for no apparent reason, how the hell would they ever prove it? However, the legislative analyst points out it may be self-administering, since if the tax pushes the price of California-produced oil higher than other sources, refineries will just buy the oil from elsewhere.
In any case, even if it *were* being applied at the pump, I’d pay a few extra cents per gallon for alternative energy programs. And I drive a lot. I’m voting YES.
Prop 88: An extra property tax of $50 per parcel, set to go to education funding. Interestingly, the local Democratic party is recommending a no vote on this one, calling it “the wrong solution.” I do think it’s a sort of inadequate attempt to make up for the under-taxation on property created by Prop 13. Maybe some money is better than none, but I’m inclined to go NO unless someone persuades me otherwise.
Prop 89: An interesting one; a small tax on corporations (0.2%) to provide public campaign funding. I’ve come to believe that public financing of election campaigns is a good idea. It won’t eliminate all corruption or the influence of moneyed special interest in politics, no – but nothing will. It’s a step in the right direction. True, candidates don’t have to accept the public financing, and assorted restrictions it places on them. However, for those who don’t, the measure introduces stricter donation limits, including on donations directly from political parties; and it provides that the publicly financed candidates get funding that matches theirs, dollar for dollar, up to a pretty generous limit. That means that every dollar any moneyed interest pours into a race assists both sides equally – creating a built-in disincentive for spending too much.
I don’t think the measure is perfect. Funding it from corporate taxes seems a bit arbitrary. I’d rather it was financed by individual taxes, but then it probably would never pass – even though it seems very likely that it will save taxpayers a great deal of money in the long run, through “payoffs” from politicians to donors that would never happen. And I’m not so sure about the way it tries to limit spending on ballot measures, as opposed to candidates; and I’m not convinced it’s necessarily constitutional.
However, I think I’m willing to vote YES on it anyhow, and let the chips fall.
Prop 90: They’re trying to sell this one as a measure to stop the abuse of the eminent domain law – something I’m not convinced is that substantial a problem. But they threw in a bit that requires government to “pay property owners for substantial economic losses resulting from some new laws and rules,” which seems to me to be opening the door for God only knows how many lawsuits. NO.
Local Measures: for me, that’s San Diego County and City.
SD County Prop A: An advisory vote, asking if the airport authority should work to try to obtain some use of land at MCAS Miramar for a commercial airport. Almost certainly pointless, as the Marines have made it pretty clear they’re not moving and are not interested in a joint-use proposal. I will probably vote YES anyway because I think it makes by far the most sense as a location for a bigger airport. But maybe it would be better to tell them to forget it so they can go about finding another solution.
City Prop B: Would require the voters to approve increases in city employee’s retirement benefits (other than for cost of living). I am trying to imagine voters ever actually doing that, no matter how well merited. Considering we already underpay some of our city employees (police, for instance) this strikes me as a bad idea. NO.
City Prop C: Would allow for some services currently provided by city employees to be contracted out, if doing so is more economical and maintains at least equal quality of service. I’m apprehensive (so often, private companies appear to offer cheaper and better services, but in the long run do not; and of course it opens the doors for assorted kinds of abuse), and inclined to vote NO, but I’m not sure I’m right.
SD Community College District, Prop N: a local bond measure for assorted upgrades to local community colleges. I’d have been inclined to support this anyway, but when I read the argument against, I came across the sentence, “There is no reason for community colleges to be so much cheaper than state colleges such as SDSU.” If people who think that way are the only ones they could find to oppose the measure, it must be good. YES.
And that would seem to be that for my sample ballot. Let the debate begin!
E.Q. TAFT's CALIFORNIA VOTER GUIDE
We start simply..
Statewide Partisan Offices: I’m voting the straight Democratic ticket – yeah, I’m kind of in a rut that way. I don’t expect Angelides will beat Schwarzenegger at this point, since Ahnold has done a good job of running back to the center after taking his licking in the special election, and Angelides hasn’t had a lot to say campaign-wise other than “Ahnold likes Bush! Ahnold likes Bush!” Which just ain’t much of a state plan.
I am amused, however, at the way the Democrats have reacted to the term limit laws, by shuffling portfolios around. Bustamante and Garamendi propose to trade jobs, while Lockyear moves from Attorney General to Teasurer, and John Chiang hops from State Board of Equalization to Controller. Yeah, those term limits sure eliminated the “professional politicians,” didn’t they?
Anyhow, to be specific: That’s’ Angelides for Governor, Garamendi for Lt. Governor, Bowen for Secretary of State, Chiang for Controller, Lockyear for Treasurer, Jerry Brown for Attorney General, Bustamante for Insurance Commissioner, and Christian-Heising for Board of Equalization (3rd District).
Legislative Offices: Again, going Democratic here. I should emphasize I think it’s particularly crucial to vote Democrat at the Federal level, to try to recapture at least one house of Congress so that we might have some oversight and put a few checks on the power of President Bush. (If you don’t think he needs any, then I can’t imagine why you’d be interested in my political recommendations, except perhaps to report me to Homeland Security.)
For me it’s: US Senate – Dianne Feinstein; House of Representatives, 53rd District – Susan Davis; State Assembly, 76th District – Lori Saldana.
Statewide Judicial Offices: So far I can’t find much information on the various California Supreme and Appellate court nominees. I’m open to opinions...
Assorted Local Offices: I’ve cribbed recommendations here from assorted sources; I’m open to comment/persuasion.
Superior Court, Office #36: Rod Shelton
SD Community College Board, District A: Maria Nieto Senour
SD Community College Board, District C: Rich Grosch
SD Community College Board, District E: Peter Zschiesche
SD Unified School Board, District B: Katherine Nakamura
SD Unified School Board, District C: John DeBeck
State Ballot Propositions: Now we get long-winded...
Prop 1A: This would limit conditions under which the state could borrow from gasoline tax revenues (which are earmarked for transportation uses) for other purposes, and require any loans that do occur to be repaid, with interest, within three years. As matters stand, the state has to repay any money borrowed from these funds with interest, which already discourages (or should) doing so unless there’s a budget crisis. This seems to be a move to further limit the budget options of the Legislature, something we’ve already done too much of. I say NO.
Prop 1B: Highway Safety, Traffic Reduction, Air Quality, and Port Security funding. A pretty big bond issue -- $20 billion (about $38 billion to repay, over 30 years). But good, necessary causes, I think. YES.
Prop 1C: Bonds for housing assistance of various kinds. YES.
Prop 1D: Bonds for public education. The usual education bonds, the usual answer from us damn liberals: YES.
Prop 1E: Disaster Preparedness and Flood Prevention bonds. I love the bit in the “argument against” where the author first complains that too much of the money goes to local community projects that should be paid for by local districts, not state funds – then in the very next paragraph, says we should demand more federal funds. Oy. YES.
Prop 83: “Jessica’s Law” – oh no, if I vote against this, I hate children, right? *sigh*. GPS monitoring of “sexual predators” for LIFE? A requirement that all registered sex offenders live at least 2,000 feet away from schools and parks, which might force many of them out of urban areas altogether? (And of course, neither of those provisions helps in the least against those whose victims are their own relatives…) I expect this will almost certainly pass, but where do we draw the line? If sex offenders are so dangerous they have to be monitored 24/7, why aren’t we just keeping them in prison for life anyway? (Don’t worry, that will be on the 2008 ballot…) Sorry, Jessica, but NO.
Prop 84: Water Quality bonds. Have I mentioned, by the way, how tired I am of the arguments for and against these bond issues on the subject of taxes? The arguments against always scream that the measure will increase taxes, while the arguments against insist they can provide services without raising taxes. Both sides are, IMO, being somewhat misleading. The “for” people make it sound like free money, which it isn’t. But neither does passing a bond measure make a tax increase inevitable, as long as over-all debt is held down to a reasonable level that the budget can cope with.
Anyway, I kind of like clean water, so YES.
Prop 85: Parental notification before abortions are performed for minors. Didn’t we vote on this already? Well, yes, we did, actually, but the anti-choice folks don’t give up that easily. While I admit to some qualms about minors getting medical treatments without their parents being notified, these are easily trumped by my feeling that no one, adult of minor, should be forced to have a child they don’t want to have. Please vote NO again. Thanks.
Prop 86: A new tobacco tax, this one a whopping 13 cents per cigarette -- $2.60 per pack. My informal research shows that cigarettes currently go for about $3-5 per pack, so that’s a pretty substantial price increase. I am very much an anti-smoker. I have voted for higher cigarette taxes in the past. And I really dislike voting the way the tobacco companies want me to. But I have some hesitation about this one. Since tobacco use rates tend to be higher amongst minorities and the poor, this amounts to a huge and very regressive tax. Someone who smokes a pack a day ends up paying $950 a year in extra taxes. For someone who makes a couple of hundred thousand dollars, that may seem trivial, but for someone making, say, $15-20,000, that’s a pretty big chunk of their income. Sure, it’s easy to say they can avoid it merely by giving up smoking. But that’s not so easy. I’ve never smoked, so I don’t really know how difficult it is – but I find my own bad habits pretty hard to break, even without the factor of being physically addictive. Raising taxes on these people makes me feel a little bit like a heroin dealer who doubles the price on his customers once they’re hooked.
But…
Proponents claim that studies show the tax will reduce and prevent smoking; that half a million Californians who smoke will quit; that hundreds of thousands of kids who haven’t yet started, won’t; that those who do smoke will smoke less. I’m not sure I believe all their numbers – but even if you cut them in half, that’s still one hell of an incentive to vote for this. Plus the money goes to some good places that need it badly.
(As an aside, I’m trying to not be overly influenced by the horrendous piece of mathematical manipulation the opponents have been using. Under current state law, you see, 40% of any new tax revenue must go to education. But this proposition, expected to raise about $2 billion, exempts itself from that requirement. So, the opponents say, passing it will TAKE $800 MILLION AWAY FROM THE SCHOOLS!!!! …never mind that it’s money that won’t exist unless the proposition is passed. I laughed out loud when I first read that one, but I wonder how many people will buy it.)
I’m still a bit torn. But I think I have to vote YES.
Prop 87: A tax on oil production, from 1.5-6.0%, depending on the market price per barrel, with the funds going to assorted alternative energy projects. The ads from the opponents on this one make it sound like it will be applied directly at the pump, which it will not. On the other hand, I have to shake my head at the law’s provision that the tax can’t be passed along to consumers – the way gas prices go up and down for no apparent reason, how the hell would they ever prove it? However, the legislative analyst points out it may be self-administering, since if the tax pushes the price of California-produced oil higher than other sources, refineries will just buy the oil from elsewhere.
In any case, even if it *were* being applied at the pump, I’d pay a few extra cents per gallon for alternative energy programs. And I drive a lot. I’m voting YES.
Prop 88: An extra property tax of $50 per parcel, set to go to education funding. Interestingly, the local Democratic party is recommending a no vote on this one, calling it “the wrong solution.” I do think it’s a sort of inadequate attempt to make up for the under-taxation on property created by Prop 13. Maybe some money is better than none, but I’m inclined to go NO unless someone persuades me otherwise.
Prop 89: An interesting one; a small tax on corporations (0.2%) to provide public campaign funding. I’ve come to believe that public financing of election campaigns is a good idea. It won’t eliminate all corruption or the influence of moneyed special interest in politics, no – but nothing will. It’s a step in the right direction. True, candidates don’t have to accept the public financing, and assorted restrictions it places on them. However, for those who don’t, the measure introduces stricter donation limits, including on donations directly from political parties; and it provides that the publicly financed candidates get funding that matches theirs, dollar for dollar, up to a pretty generous limit. That means that every dollar any moneyed interest pours into a race assists both sides equally – creating a built-in disincentive for spending too much.
I don’t think the measure is perfect. Funding it from corporate taxes seems a bit arbitrary. I’d rather it was financed by individual taxes, but then it probably would never pass – even though it seems very likely that it will save taxpayers a great deal of money in the long run, through “payoffs” from politicians to donors that would never happen. And I’m not so sure about the way it tries to limit spending on ballot measures, as opposed to candidates; and I’m not convinced it’s necessarily constitutional.
However, I think I’m willing to vote YES on it anyhow, and let the chips fall.
Prop 90: They’re trying to sell this one as a measure to stop the abuse of the eminent domain law – something I’m not convinced is that substantial a problem. But they threw in a bit that requires government to “pay property owners for substantial economic losses resulting from some new laws and rules,” which seems to me to be opening the door for God only knows how many lawsuits. NO.
Local Measures: for me, that’s San Diego County and City.
SD County Prop A: An advisory vote, asking if the airport authority should work to try to obtain some use of land at MCAS Miramar for a commercial airport. Almost certainly pointless, as the Marines have made it pretty clear they’re not moving and are not interested in a joint-use proposal. I will probably vote YES anyway because I think it makes by far the most sense as a location for a bigger airport. But maybe it would be better to tell them to forget it so they can go about finding another solution.
City Prop B: Would require the voters to approve increases in city employee’s retirement benefits (other than for cost of living). I am trying to imagine voters ever actually doing that, no matter how well merited. Considering we already underpay some of our city employees (police, for instance) this strikes me as a bad idea. NO.
City Prop C: Would allow for some services currently provided by city employees to be contracted out, if doing so is more economical and maintains at least equal quality of service. I’m apprehensive (so often, private companies appear to offer cheaper and better services, but in the long run do not; and of course it opens the doors for assorted kinds of abuse), and inclined to vote NO, but I’m not sure I’m right.
SD Community College District, Prop N: a local bond measure for assorted upgrades to local community colleges. I’d have been inclined to support this anyway, but when I read the argument against, I came across the sentence, “There is no reason for community colleges to be so much cheaper than state colleges such as SDSU.” If people who think that way are the only ones they could find to oppose the measure, it must be good. YES.
And that would seem to be that for my sample ballot. Let the debate begin!
Monday, July 24, 2006
ComicCon International 2006
I've been skipping ComicCon for the past five years or so, after about a decade of working the show in some capacity -- mostly technical and video. I had planned on missing this year, too, but at the last minute allowed myself to be drafted in as an assistant to the Executive Director (sounds fairly pretentious, no?). So I spent Wednesday through Saturday running errands and wrangling lines, for the most part. But I did get a chance to wander the exhibit hall from time to time, to take a few dozen photos of the costumes and goings-on, and get Sergio Aragones to sign a few newly-purchased items.
Geez, but the thing is BIG. It was almost too big the last time I went. Since then, the expansion of the convention center has about doubled the size of the exhibit hall, and there isn't any wasted space. I'm told that walking up and down all the aisles would be around the equivalent of a 10K, and it seems believable enough. Of course, you can't do it in any hurry, the place being jam-packed.
I'm told attendance was up this year, from over 100,000 last year, perhaps to around 125,000, though that figure is unofficial. I do know that on-site registration was shut down on Saturday afternoon, and that announcements went out on radio, on the freeway status signs, and via the trolley conductors that if you didn't already have your membership, turn around.
Despite all that, all the reviews I've seen coming in are favorable. Oh, there were the usual glitches to overcome, and certainly the crowding had its downside -- I had someone tell me that they were lining up for tickets to the Masquerade at 11:30 AM (tickets to be handed out starting at 4:30 PM, with the event itself at 8:30) which strikes me as somewhat insane. I spent most of Friday and Saturday outside of Hall H, which is where most of the big movie stuido stuff happened. The hall seats about six thousand, but filled up several times, and whenever it got full, there were people desperate to get in. (Some of the press in particular went away a little annoyed.) But heck...the crowds must mean we're doing SOMEthing right.
I took Sunday off (originally I had only been due to work Wednesday-Friday, but I let them talk me into Saturday too), slept in till about 11:00, got up and puttered about a bit -- but felt so out of it I had to go back to bed for about a three-hour nap. Then I had dinner, and THEN I felt more or less human.
All this meant that I missed most of the City of Heroes "Double XP Weekend" but what the heck...I had fun. Worse yet, they seemed to think I was useful...so they're already working on trying to get me to work next year. *shudder* Well, I had been missing it, I have to admit. (It's mainly an economic issue for me: I've watched too many of my friends use up a week's vacation time, year after year, to go to the Con and work twice as many hours as they would have had they stayed on their jobs, which always struck me as a bit crazy...and I don't *get* paid vacation time.) I imagine the odds are good I will be there in some form in 2007.
Saturday, July 08, 2006
My (Slightly) Lucky Week
So, on Wednesday, I was in a 7-11 noticed the local super-Lotto jackpot was up over $100 million. I was buying a soda refill and donuts or some such and paying with a twenty, so I asked for five quick-picks, something I do maybe half a dozen times a year (just enough to justify the "if I won the lottery" daydreaming, without being an actual notable drain on the budget).
The next day I'm in another 7-11 and on the way out run my ticket through the "Did you win?" scanner, and lo! It says I did. So I give it to the clerk who runs it through the machine, and I win a whole...fifteen dollars! Whoo! ...OK, not that exciting, but it's the biggest lottery prize I've ever won. (I've gotten my $5 back once or twice before, but this is the first time I've actualy come out ahead.)
Then last night, I decided to go see if I could catch a late showing of Pirates of the Carribean: Dead Man's Chest at the local multiplex. I get there at 10:00 PM, knowing there are showings scheduled at 10:30 and 10:55. I get up to the box office, and find both showings are sold out. I see they've added a showing at 11:30, but that's a bit later than I want to go. However, I had anticipated that the shows might be sold out, and had planned, in that case, to see Superman Returns again -- I think some of the flying scenes and other bits are worth seeing on the big screen more than once.
So I get in line. But before I get up to the window, a lady comes up to the line waving a ticket. "Anyone need just one for Pirates? I have one I can't use, I'm giving it away." "Which showing?" I ask. "10:30" she says. "Sure," I say. I offered to pay for it, but she just gave it to me and walked off. Cool, thinks I. Not only in, but for free!
Of course, there was a huge line to get in, and I was near the very end. When I finally make it in, I figure I could probably find a decent single seat somewhere, but I take the easy route and plop down in the front row. It's stadium-style seaitng, so this isn't a popular choice, but it's not so bad, particularly since the row is empty, I'm right in the center, and there's a rail in front to prop my feet up on.
Then a couple guys in pirate outfits come in to work the crowd, leading us in a chorus or two of "Yo-ho, A Pirate's Life for Me" (just the chorus) and then asking some trivia questions. I know the first two, but my hand doesn't go up quickly enough. The third is "What year did the original Pirates of the Carribean ride open at Disneyland?" Again my hand isn't up first -- but the first two or three answers are wrong, so they pick me. "1967!" I say. "Correct!" (The guy tells me that's the fastest they've gotten the correct answer all day.) So, I win a free pass for the theatre. So, not only do I see the film for free, but I get to see another movie for free sometime.
OK, not exactly life-changing incidents of luck, but hey...certanly beats the usual.
I wonder if I can talk my friends into a poker game tomorrow....
The next day I'm in another 7-11 and on the way out run my ticket through the "Did you win?" scanner, and lo! It says I did. So I give it to the clerk who runs it through the machine, and I win a whole...fifteen dollars! Whoo! ...OK, not that exciting, but it's the biggest lottery prize I've ever won. (I've gotten my $5 back once or twice before, but this is the first time I've actualy come out ahead.)
Then last night, I decided to go see if I could catch a late showing of Pirates of the Carribean: Dead Man's Chest at the local multiplex. I get there at 10:00 PM, knowing there are showings scheduled at 10:30 and 10:55. I get up to the box office, and find both showings are sold out. I see they've added a showing at 11:30, but that's a bit later than I want to go. However, I had anticipated that the shows might be sold out, and had planned, in that case, to see Superman Returns again -- I think some of the flying scenes and other bits are worth seeing on the big screen more than once.
So I get in line. But before I get up to the window, a lady comes up to the line waving a ticket. "Anyone need just one for Pirates? I have one I can't use, I'm giving it away." "Which showing?" I ask. "10:30" she says. "Sure," I say. I offered to pay for it, but she just gave it to me and walked off. Cool, thinks I. Not only in, but for free!
Of course, there was a huge line to get in, and I was near the very end. When I finally make it in, I figure I could probably find a decent single seat somewhere, but I take the easy route and plop down in the front row. It's stadium-style seaitng, so this isn't a popular choice, but it's not so bad, particularly since the row is empty, I'm right in the center, and there's a rail in front to prop my feet up on.
Then a couple guys in pirate outfits come in to work the crowd, leading us in a chorus or two of "Yo-ho, A Pirate's Life for Me" (just the chorus) and then asking some trivia questions. I know the first two, but my hand doesn't go up quickly enough. The third is "What year did the original Pirates of the Carribean ride open at Disneyland?" Again my hand isn't up first -- but the first two or three answers are wrong, so they pick me. "1967!" I say. "Correct!" (The guy tells me that's the fastest they've gotten the correct answer all day.) So, I win a free pass for the theatre. So, not only do I see the film for free, but I get to see another movie for free sometime.
OK, not exactly life-changing incidents of luck, but hey...certanly beats the usual.
I wonder if I can talk my friends into a poker game tomorrow....
Monday, May 15, 2006
Bush to propose using National Guard on Mexican Border
According to White House sources, during his televised speech Monday night, President Bush will propose using National Guard troops "as a stopgap measure" to increase security along the border with Mexico while the Border Patrol builds up its own resources for the task. Supposedly, Bush will also speak in support of some kind go Guest Worker program, and a path to US citizenship for undocumented workers currently in the country.
Frankly, given Bush's low popularity, I think that politically this will backfire on him. In attempting to appeal to both sides (increasing security while supporting some form of what will be called amnesty, though I'm sure supporters will avoid the word), he will wind up with both sides attacking him instead. Liberals will call it a militarization of the border; conservatives will reject the idea of amnesty; immigrant advocates will call the guest worker program exploitative, and labor will object to it on the grounds that it lowers wages and reduces job opportunities for Americans.
A more popular president might be able to lead on the issue, and get a compromise of some kind accepted, but Bush has no political capital left, and I don't think this speech is going to do much to help him -- or towards solving the issue.
It's an interesting issue, in that clearly I think both political parties are hoping to somehow use it to gain favor in the mid-term elections -- but neither party is quite sure how.
(I also tend to suspect the mission won't do a lot to help the sagging National Guard recruiting efforts....)
Frankly, given Bush's low popularity, I think that politically this will backfire on him. In attempting to appeal to both sides (increasing security while supporting some form of what will be called amnesty, though I'm sure supporters will avoid the word), he will wind up with both sides attacking him instead. Liberals will call it a militarization of the border; conservatives will reject the idea of amnesty; immigrant advocates will call the guest worker program exploitative, and labor will object to it on the grounds that it lowers wages and reduces job opportunities for Americans.
A more popular president might be able to lead on the issue, and get a compromise of some kind accepted, but Bush has no political capital left, and I don't think this speech is going to do much to help him -- or towards solving the issue.
It's an interesting issue, in that clearly I think both political parties are hoping to somehow use it to gain favor in the mid-term elections -- but neither party is quite sure how.
(I also tend to suspect the mission won't do a lot to help the sagging National Guard recruiting efforts....)
Sunday, February 12, 2006
Moxie
This is Moxie, one of my two pet female rats, in I think a particularly nice photo. She's about 4 months old. Her cage-mate Pepsi is more camera-shy, but I'll try to capture her sometime soon.
The photo is deceptive in one way -- she actually has pink eyes. But when shot with a flash, this makes her looks like the Demon Rat from Hell, so I used red-eye removal. Trust me though, she's still this cute in person.
Sunday, February 05, 2006
What I Am, and Why
I am an American by birth, naturally. But it goes a little further than that. I'm at least a third-generation American on all sides of the family (all four of my grandparents were born in the US, and at least some of my great-grandparents). Being a fairly generic, mostly European ethnic mix (Welsh and Norwegian that I know about, probably some English and/or Scottish, and a bit of Cherokee), I was never really urged to think of myself as anything but an American -- not an Italian-American or Irish-American or anything of the sort. Nor was I particularly subjected to sectionalism of any sort; while I'm fond of California, where I've always lived, I don't particularly consider it the "best part" of the country.
But I'm not just American by circumstance; I'm one by avocation, as well. I believe in our basic system and principles of government. Though I would personally take the theism out, I believe in the the words of the Declaration of Independence:
"We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. --That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed."
Further, I think the Founders designed a pretty good, resilient, stable system for securing these rights -- the checks and balances of our three branches of government -- and I like the freedoms guaranteed by the Bill of Rights, most notably the First, Fourth, and Fifth amendments. Ours is, ideally, a government of laws, not of men, and that is as it should be.
Of course, I'm aware we haven't always held to the principles as firmly as we should; that mistakes have been made; that no system is perfect. But I'm pretty happy with the one we've got, and think that the majority of the time, we get it right eventually.
I am a Liberal because I believe that the government has a valid role to play in actively securing these rights for individuals. It's not enough for government to play a passive role, not itself interfering with liberty; it should be an active helper. It should do this through taking responsibility for educating the populace; through providing the infrastructure that allows commerce to take place; by protecting the environment; through consumer protection laws, through mechanisms to fight discrimination, unfair trade practices, abuse and exploitation of the weak by the strong. I do not succumb to what I think of as the Libertarian fallacy, that fewer laws means more freedom; while I believe the free market is the best mechanism yet devised for creating and distributing wealth, I believe an unregulated free market can be as oppressive of individuals as any tyrannical state. I believe in maintaining a social safety net at least strong enough to keep children from going hungry, to keep temporary economic setbacks from leading to a life of poverty, and to maintain public safety and health.
I consider myself a Moderate, not so much in the sense that I am somewhere between Liberal and Conservative -- though I do have some centrist views -- but in the sense that I am not a radical or extremist. I recognize that I share the country and the world with people who hold some very different views than I do, and that sometimes it is necessary to compromise. Sometimes it's a matter of picking one's battles; sometimes it's a matter of tactics; other times it's genuinely a question of finding a solution everyone can live with, even if no one considers it perfect. I tend to favor working through the institutions of government and society first, resorting to civil disobedience only in cases of particular injustice and failure of government to respond; and to outright violence or revolution only when the alternative is accepting tyranny.
I am a Democrat -- that is, a member of the Democratic Party -- because I feel it is the party that is working most consistently and effectively in support of my philosophies and interests. Some of the other parties are attractive in some senses (the Green party, for instance), but they often go too far in one direction; also, from a practical standpoint, they simply haven't got the power to effect change directly, though they can influence policy at times. If one looks historically at "third parties" in American history, you find that when one strikes a particularly popular viewpoint, one or both of the major parties co-opt their agenda; the party fades from history due to its success, rather than failure. So if, for instance, one feels the Democratic party isn't liberal enough, I think working to shift the party to the left is likely to be more effective than abandoning it for a smaller niche party.
But I'm not just American by circumstance; I'm one by avocation, as well. I believe in our basic system and principles of government. Though I would personally take the theism out, I believe in the the words of the Declaration of Independence:
"We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. --That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed."
Further, I think the Founders designed a pretty good, resilient, stable system for securing these rights -- the checks and balances of our three branches of government -- and I like the freedoms guaranteed by the Bill of Rights, most notably the First, Fourth, and Fifth amendments. Ours is, ideally, a government of laws, not of men, and that is as it should be.
Of course, I'm aware we haven't always held to the principles as firmly as we should; that mistakes have been made; that no system is perfect. But I'm pretty happy with the one we've got, and think that the majority of the time, we get it right eventually.
I am a Liberal because I believe that the government has a valid role to play in actively securing these rights for individuals. It's not enough for government to play a passive role, not itself interfering with liberty; it should be an active helper. It should do this through taking responsibility for educating the populace; through providing the infrastructure that allows commerce to take place; by protecting the environment; through consumer protection laws, through mechanisms to fight discrimination, unfair trade practices, abuse and exploitation of the weak by the strong. I do not succumb to what I think of as the Libertarian fallacy, that fewer laws means more freedom; while I believe the free market is the best mechanism yet devised for creating and distributing wealth, I believe an unregulated free market can be as oppressive of individuals as any tyrannical state. I believe in maintaining a social safety net at least strong enough to keep children from going hungry, to keep temporary economic setbacks from leading to a life of poverty, and to maintain public safety and health.
I consider myself a Moderate, not so much in the sense that I am somewhere between Liberal and Conservative -- though I do have some centrist views -- but in the sense that I am not a radical or extremist. I recognize that I share the country and the world with people who hold some very different views than I do, and that sometimes it is necessary to compromise. Sometimes it's a matter of picking one's battles; sometimes it's a matter of tactics; other times it's genuinely a question of finding a solution everyone can live with, even if no one considers it perfect. I tend to favor working through the institutions of government and society first, resorting to civil disobedience only in cases of particular injustice and failure of government to respond; and to outright violence or revolution only when the alternative is accepting tyranny.
I am a Democrat -- that is, a member of the Democratic Party -- because I feel it is the party that is working most consistently and effectively in support of my philosophies and interests. Some of the other parties are attractive in some senses (the Green party, for instance), but they often go too far in one direction; also, from a practical standpoint, they simply haven't got the power to effect change directly, though they can influence policy at times. If one looks historically at "third parties" in American history, you find that when one strikes a particularly popular viewpoint, one or both of the major parties co-opt their agenda; the party fades from history due to its success, rather than failure. So if, for instance, one feels the Democratic party isn't liberal enough, I think working to shift the party to the left is likely to be more effective than abandoning it for a smaller niche party.
Tuesday, January 31, 2006
State of the Union message
Thoughts as I watched:
I have RealPlayer fired up, streaming from the House Chamber; Hastert & Cheney are announcing who gets to escort the President into the chamber. It's 5:59, California time (my time stamps may be a bit off, if there's streaming lag). Let's see how this goes, shall we?
6:00 -- Mrs. Bush has been seated; diplomatic corps is coming in.
6:02 -- the Supreme Court justices come in -- looks like Alito got confirmed just in time to get his ticket. (Actually, the picture isn't good enough for me to be sure, but since he's been sworn in, I would presume it's him.)
6:06 -- While waiting, I remember that I had a dream last night that had Dick Cheney in it. Strangely, he was accompanying my family on a San Diego vacation, for no apparent reason. We were getting ready to head to Petco Park for a San Diego Padres triple-header, if one can imagine such a thing. The rest of us were dressed sensibly for an afternoon and evening at the ball park, but Cheney was in a suit and tie. I remember trying to decide if I should avoid any political discussion, if I should try to engage him in some kind of constructive discourse (expressing my disagreements as politely as possible) -- or say what I REALLY think.
6:08 -- Cheney is saved from my wrath by the Sergent-at-Arms: here comes the President.
6:11 -- I wonder what's in the large envelopes he just handed to Cheney and Hastert at the podium? Copies of the speech? Autographed head shots? Hmmm.
6:12:40 -- Speech starts with a tribute to Corretta Scott King. Standing ovation. Predictable, but certainly approrpriate.
6:14 -- Nearly two minutes in before he says the State of the Union is "strong."
6:16 -- First mention of September 11th.
6:18 -- Osama bin Laden actually gets mentioned. (Iraq mentioned a few phrases later...)
6:25 -- On the whole, I agree with what he says we have to do in Iraq. I'm annoyed at his complaining about "defeatism" on the part of some critics. And, I don't entirely share his rosy outlook on how things are going. But I have to admit that the question of "what we do now" is only slightly releated to the question of whether we should have gone into Iraq in the first place.
This doesn't mean, however, that we should consider that question completely moot. Analyzing how that decision was made is, IMHO, important as a guide to future decisions. (Whether you think it was correct or not.)
6:35 -- Here comes the domestic surveilance -- excuse me, TERRORIST surveilance defense.
6:36 -- Interesting that they focused for a moment on the Supreme Court justices as Bush talked about this. I presume the Court members normally try to remain as impassive as they looked there.
6:37 -- What's the sudden attack on isolationism? I mean, yeah, I agree, isolationism is an out-of-date policy, but didn't we settle that around 1941? Is anyone really preaching it now?
6:40 -- I expect to hear a lot of debunking (or disputing, if you prefer) of his job and economic growth numbers tomorrow. For me, I don't have the numbers on tap, but I wonder if people besides me will note the dissonance between "make my tax cuts permanent" and "cut the deficit in half." (You mean the deficit we didn't have before your tax cuts...?)
I suppose linking "earmark reform" with the line-item veto was inevitible.
6:44 -- OK, that's interesting. I think the Dems just got up an applauded the failure of his Social Security proposal last year. (And good for them.)
The notion of a bi-partisan commission to work on entitlement reform is a good one; I just don't believe, under the current government, will truly be bi-partisan. (Maybe next year.)
6:46 -- "Affordable health care" gets a good round of applause. Claiming that we are meeting the needs of the poor and elderly does not.
6:48 -- Two minutes on health care? Nothing about the savings accounts the commentators have been talking about? Maybe he'll go back to it.
6:50 -- The energy proposals sound good, if they're really followed up. Thirty years later than they should be (and I don't blame Bush or the Republicans entirely for that), and not drastic enough, in my opinion -- but it we really do it, a good start.
6:52 -- I'd love to hear Bush actually explain the concept of "nanotechnology."
6:54 -- "In recent years, America has become a more hopeful nation." Wow, is that counter to my personal experience. The 1990's was a great time of optimism; the time between the end of the Cold War and 9/11, I think, will be looked back on as one of the happiest times in our country's history, when we had nothing better to worry about than the President's sex life. The 21st century, by contrast, has pretty much sucked so far.
6:56 -- Ah, yes, there's Alito. I wonder if O'Connor has a seat somewhere? Hmmmm...they're showing the ovation...if she's in the crowd I can't see it.
Meantime, here comes the social agenda. Abortion (has it really gone down during his presidency? I've heard the opposite), gay marriage (obliquely referred to), now human cloning...
7:03 -- "May God Bless America." Speech over, about 51 minutes. Pretty generic, no particularly bold initiatives. A relatively lackluster ovation at the end, I think. (Well, his popularity rating is pretty low.)
On the whole, not much one can disagree with on the surface. The devil is in the details and the follow-up. Speaking personally, I have little confidence in either, based on experience with this President. Now let's see what the Democratic response is...
7:11 -- Parlimentary details handled, joint session adjourned by Hastert.
7:17 -- Democratic response starts, Governor Tim Kaine of Virginia. He too starts with Corretta Scott King.
7:20 -- Already tired of him saying "There's a better way." (Even if he is right.)
7:21 -- He mentions the Medicare drug benefit fiasco; I don't think I heard anything about THAT from the President.
7:25 -- Did they glue this guy's left eyebrow on too high?
7:27 -- "God Bless the United States of America." Finished. Short, largely accurate (I think), but not forceful enough. And Kaine doesn't impress me very much as a speaker. I would have liked to have heard more numbers and hard facts; it's what the opposition does best, whoever it is.
Now it's time for the spin doctors...and time for me to go play "City of Heroes" or something.
I have RealPlayer fired up, streaming from the House Chamber; Hastert & Cheney are announcing who gets to escort the President into the chamber. It's 5:59, California time (my time stamps may be a bit off, if there's streaming lag). Let's see how this goes, shall we?
6:00 -- Mrs. Bush has been seated; diplomatic corps is coming in.
6:02 -- the Supreme Court justices come in -- looks like Alito got confirmed just in time to get his ticket. (Actually, the picture isn't good enough for me to be sure, but since he's been sworn in, I would presume it's him.)
6:06 -- While waiting, I remember that I had a dream last night that had Dick Cheney in it. Strangely, he was accompanying my family on a San Diego vacation, for no apparent reason. We were getting ready to head to Petco Park for a San Diego Padres triple-header, if one can imagine such a thing. The rest of us were dressed sensibly for an afternoon and evening at the ball park, but Cheney was in a suit and tie. I remember trying to decide if I should avoid any political discussion, if I should try to engage him in some kind of constructive discourse (expressing my disagreements as politely as possible) -- or say what I REALLY think.
6:08 -- Cheney is saved from my wrath by the Sergent-at-Arms: here comes the President.
6:11 -- I wonder what's in the large envelopes he just handed to Cheney and Hastert at the podium? Copies of the speech? Autographed head shots? Hmmm.
6:12:40 -- Speech starts with a tribute to Corretta Scott King. Standing ovation. Predictable, but certainly approrpriate.
6:14 -- Nearly two minutes in before he says the State of the Union is "strong."
6:16 -- First mention of September 11th.
6:18 -- Osama bin Laden actually gets mentioned. (Iraq mentioned a few phrases later...)
6:25 -- On the whole, I agree with what he says we have to do in Iraq. I'm annoyed at his complaining about "defeatism" on the part of some critics. And, I don't entirely share his rosy outlook on how things are going. But I have to admit that the question of "what we do now" is only slightly releated to the question of whether we should have gone into Iraq in the first place.
This doesn't mean, however, that we should consider that question completely moot. Analyzing how that decision was made is, IMHO, important as a guide to future decisions. (Whether you think it was correct or not.)
6:35 -- Here comes the domestic surveilance -- excuse me, TERRORIST surveilance defense.
6:36 -- Interesting that they focused for a moment on the Supreme Court justices as Bush talked about this. I presume the Court members normally try to remain as impassive as they looked there.
6:37 -- What's the sudden attack on isolationism? I mean, yeah, I agree, isolationism is an out-of-date policy, but didn't we settle that around 1941? Is anyone really preaching it now?
6:40 -- I expect to hear a lot of debunking (or disputing, if you prefer) of his job and economic growth numbers tomorrow. For me, I don't have the numbers on tap, but I wonder if people besides me will note the dissonance between "make my tax cuts permanent" and "cut the deficit in half." (You mean the deficit we didn't have before your tax cuts...?)
I suppose linking "earmark reform" with the line-item veto was inevitible.
6:44 -- OK, that's interesting. I think the Dems just got up an applauded the failure of his Social Security proposal last year. (And good for them.)
The notion of a bi-partisan commission to work on entitlement reform is a good one; I just don't believe, under the current government, will truly be bi-partisan. (Maybe next year.)
6:46 -- "Affordable health care" gets a good round of applause. Claiming that we are meeting the needs of the poor and elderly does not.
6:48 -- Two minutes on health care? Nothing about the savings accounts the commentators have been talking about? Maybe he'll go back to it.
6:50 -- The energy proposals sound good, if they're really followed up. Thirty years later than they should be (and I don't blame Bush or the Republicans entirely for that), and not drastic enough, in my opinion -- but it we really do it, a good start.
6:52 -- I'd love to hear Bush actually explain the concept of "nanotechnology."
6:54 -- "In recent years, America has become a more hopeful nation." Wow, is that counter to my personal experience. The 1990's was a great time of optimism; the time between the end of the Cold War and 9/11, I think, will be looked back on as one of the happiest times in our country's history, when we had nothing better to worry about than the President's sex life. The 21st century, by contrast, has pretty much sucked so far.
6:56 -- Ah, yes, there's Alito. I wonder if O'Connor has a seat somewhere? Hmmmm...they're showing the ovation...if she's in the crowd I can't see it.
Meantime, here comes the social agenda. Abortion (has it really gone down during his presidency? I've heard the opposite), gay marriage (obliquely referred to), now human cloning...
7:03 -- "May God Bless America." Speech over, about 51 minutes. Pretty generic, no particularly bold initiatives. A relatively lackluster ovation at the end, I think. (Well, his popularity rating is pretty low.)
On the whole, not much one can disagree with on the surface. The devil is in the details and the follow-up. Speaking personally, I have little confidence in either, based on experience with this President. Now let's see what the Democratic response is...
7:11 -- Parlimentary details handled, joint session adjourned by Hastert.
7:17 -- Democratic response starts, Governor Tim Kaine of Virginia. He too starts with Corretta Scott King.
7:20 -- Already tired of him saying "There's a better way." (Even if he is right.)
7:21 -- He mentions the Medicare drug benefit fiasco; I don't think I heard anything about THAT from the President.
7:25 -- Did they glue this guy's left eyebrow on too high?
7:27 -- "God Bless the United States of America." Finished. Short, largely accurate (I think), but not forceful enough. And Kaine doesn't impress me very much as a speaker. I would have liked to have heard more numbers and hard facts; it's what the opposition does best, whoever it is.
Now it's time for the spin doctors...and time for me to go play "City of Heroes" or something.